Liverpool v NUFC….The Odds…

Tomorrows match (30th) against Liverpool is live on Sky at 19:45 here are some of the odds.

Match Odds

Liverpool 4/7

Draw 3/1

NUFC 11/2

…………………………….

First Goalscorer

Carroll and Bellamy both 4/1

Gerrard 7/1

Ba and Rodriguez both 8/1

Adam 9/1

Best 10/1

Shola 11/1

Ben Arfa 14/1

…………………………….

HT-FT

LFC-LFC 7/5

DRAW-LFC 10/3

DRAW-DRAW 11/2

NUFC-NUFC 12/1

DRAW-NUFC 14/1

NUFC-LFC 28/1

LFC-NUFC 40/1

…………………………….

Scores

Liverpool 1-0 (6/1), 2-0 (5/1), 3-0 (9/1), 2-1 (7/1)

NUFC 1-0 (14/1), 2-0 (33/1), 3-0 (100/1), 2-1 (22/1)

Draw 0-0 (11/1), 1-1 (7/1), 2-2 (18/1)

……………………………..

All Market Odds can be found here.

HTL

QPR v NUFC Match Odds

Match Odds
————————-
QPR 6/4
NUFC 21/10
Draw 23/10

First Scorer
————————-
Jay Bothroyd 13/2
Demba Ba 7/1
Leon Best 13/2
Adel Taarabt 7/1
Patrick Agyemang 7/1
Shola Ameobi 7/1
No Scorer 8/1
Peter Lovenkrands 9/1
Sammy Ameobi 11/1
Joey Barton 12/1
Gabriel Obertan 10/1
Sean Wright-Phillips 12/1
Yohan Cabaye 16/1
Dan Gosling 16/1
Ryan Taylor 14/1
Steven Taylor 25/1
Cheik Tiote 28/1
Danny Simpson 50/1
Davide Santon 40/1

Scores
—————————-
0-0 9/1
1-1 11/2
QPR 1-0 6/1
QPR 2-0 10/1
QPR 2-1 8/1
QPR 3-1 22/1
NUFC 1-0 7/1
NUFC 2-0 12/1 
NUFC 2-1 11/1
NUFC 3-0 33/1
NUFC 3-1 28/1

HT/FT
——————————
QPR/QPR 3/1
NUFC/NUFC 9/2
DRAW/QPR 9/2
DRAW/NUFC 5/1
NUFC/QPR 25/1
QPR/NUFC 28/1
DRAW/DRAW 4/1

Handicaps
——————————
QPR -1 4/1
NUFC +1 1/2

Over/Under Goal line
——————————
2.5 goals - Under 8/13 Over 6/5
3.5 goals - Under 2/9 Over 11/4

EPL and Championship Title Odds….

All Ladbrokes have released there - Who will win the League 2011/12 slip and heres some odds.

Premier League

Liverpool 10/1

Spurs 33/1

5under1and 500/1

Newcastle 750/1

Norwich 3500/1

Championship

West Ham 11/2

Leicester 6/1

Birmingham 8/1

Boro 10/1

Blackpool 14/1

Leeds 16/1

Watford 40/1

Barnsley 100/1

Rest can be found here

SAFC v NUFC - Derby Day Odds

Here are the latest odds on the Tyne-Wear Derby.
Sunderland 6/5 (b365)
Draw 12/5 (sb)
Newcastle 14/5 (vc)

1st Goalscorer
Bent 9/2
Gyan 11/2
Welbeck 11/2
Carroll 6/1
Amoebi 8/1
Nolan 8/1
Best 9/1
Lovenkrands 9/1
Ranger 10/1
Reid 10/1
Henderson 14/1
Zenden 16/1
Richardson 16/1
Gosling 20/1
Barton 18/1

Score
Draws
0-0 8/1
1-1 6/1
2-2 16/1
SAFC
1-0 6/1
2-1 17/2
2-0 10/1
5-1 150/1
NUFC
1-0 9/1
2-1 11/1
2-0 18/1
5-1 475/1

HalfTime/FullTime
SAFC/SAFC 21/10
D/D 4/1
D/SAFC 5/1
NUFC/NUFC 11/2
D/NUFC 7/1
SAFC/D 14/1
NUFC/D 14/1
NUFC/SAFC 25/1
SAFC/NUFC 33/1

Handicaps
Sunderland -1 3/1
Newcastle United +1 4/6

Over 2.5 goals
21/20
Under 2.5 goals
4/5

Both Teams to Score
Yes - 10/11
No - Evens

All Match Odds and Bets can be found here courtesy of OddsChecker

Last 16 of the Carling Cup

Last 16 of the Carling Cup this week, with the mags facing an easy match at home against Arsenal. Depending on the side that show up this is indeed a ‘scary’ match, we are 3/1 to win the game that must be decided on the evening.

Tuesday, 26 October 2010
Birmingham v Brentford, 19:45
Ipswich v Northampton, 19:45
Leicester v West Brom, 19:45
Wigan v Swansea, 19:45
Man Utd v Wolverhampton, 20:00 

Wednesday, 27 October 2010
Aston Villa v Burnley, 19:45
Newcastle v Arsenal, 19:45
West Ham v Stoke, 19:45 

The shortest priced teams this week are Man Utd and Birmingham….

Odds have the last 8 as
Birmingham, Ipswich, WBA, Wigan, Man Utd, Villa, Arsenal and West Ham

Winner of the trophy (Odds)
Manchester United    2   
Arsenal    7/2   
Aston Villa    7   
Newcastle United    14   
Birmingham    14   

The Fifth Round draw will take place on 30 October 2010, with the matches to be played in the week commencing 29 November 2010.

Alfie The Cat…hitting form again?

All, here’s an update on @PsychicAlfie and his tipping prowess this season so far for us at The Seats HQ.

Since July 23rd he has posted tips on 15 occasions and selected 23 seperate bets. He is currently 14/23 (60% SR for the season), which is not bad considering he is a cat.

NUFC v Blackpool…..betting odds

Some odds on tomorrows game

Match Odds
NUFC win 8/13 (lads)
Blackpool win 11/2 (freds)
Draw 3/1 (vc)

First Goalscorer
Carroll 10/3 (general)
Amoebi 6/1 (vc)
Nolan 7/1 (vc)
Best 7/1 (vc)
Harewood 10/1 (paddy)
Ben Arfa 11/1 (vc)
DJ Campbell 12/1 (B365)
Barton 14/1 (vc)

Scoreline (NUFC first)
2-1 7/1 (general)
1-0 15/2 (Hills)
2-0 15/2 (Hills)
1-1 15/2 (Hills)
3-0 11/1 (Hills)
3-1 12/1 (sky)
4-0 25/1 (freds)
5-0 50/1 (general)
6-0 150/1 (freds)
7-0 250/1 (hills)

FIND ALL ODDS ON THE GAME HERE

How Can You Beat the Bookies?

Soccer Predictions - How Can You Beat the Bookies?
By Les Kane

While the bookies constantly improve their soccer prediction methods and try to avoid paying out, we can still find holes in their predictions. The question is how. There is no one million-dollar answer. Nevertheless, there are two ways that will allow you to beat the bookies. One way is to analyze non-measurable match information. Another way is to improve on statistical prediction models used by bookmakers.

The first method requires you to analyze data such as match type or priority, which is not used in statistical models. Among the most prominent factors that might influence the outcome of a soccer match are:

• Match type which can be an international/national league, a cup, or a friendly game. Especially profitable for you are the cup finals, where the media selects favorites and the better informed punter can profit from betting on the highly priced underdog teams.
• Match priority. Each team has to define its priority for the forthcoming matches, since team resources are limited. European national cups are good examples for the top teams of low priority games.
• Match time is important, since soccer predictions are usually inaccurate at the beginning and at the end of the season.
• Players’ injuries, illnesses and transfers especially in the cases of key players. Bookmakers’ odds are usually calculated before this information is available.
• European Leagues - predictable and unpredictable. The Italian, Norwegian, French and Spanish leagues are considered predictable. The unpredictable are the English and German leagues, especially at the beginning and the end of the season.
• Other factors are pitch conditions, team managers, match attendance, weather conditions and, of course, pure chance.

To analyze all that information for every match would be a complicated and time-consuming task. The alternative is to use advanced statistical prediction methods, which constitute an improvement on bookies’ prediction models.

Why can their models be further improved? First, when analyzing bookies’ predictions carefully, it is easy to notice that their models are based on average statistics. Low odds usually correspond to teams with high table positions and vice versa. It is clear that the accuracy of their models suffers when team skills change. Thus, by taking into account team skill dynamics, you can increase your profit by placing a bet on highly priced underdogs.

Second, the bookmakers’ models do not distinguish between the attacking and defensive strengths of soccer teams and don’t take into account that soccer teams choose different strategies when playing at home or away. Once you learn how to distinguish between attacking and defensive strengths, you can easily forecast the total number of goals and beat the bookies at under/over bets.

Statistical models that were developed over the past few years explain historical match results in terms of changing skills and strategy. Bookmakers don’t use such advanced models. Properly designed and optimized time-dependent models can predict as much as 70% of matches, outperforming the bookies’ predictions whose accuracy is much lower.

This article was written by a group of scientists, who developed a state-of-the-art method for soccer predictions. The predictions are based on time-varying skills of soccer teams. You may view charts that display attacking and defensive strengths of more than a thousand teams from around the world at http://www.scibet.com. This information is given free of charge and allows you to beat the bookies at their own game.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Les_Kane
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